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Sandy Now A Hurricane; Watches Issued For East Coast of Florida

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By Brandon Redmond

Written by: Brandon Redmond

Sandy was upgraded to a hurricane this morning and continues to strengthen! Tropical storm watches have been issued for the East Coast of Florida as the track of the Hurricane continues to slowly move towards the Eastern Coast of the Sunshine State.

Sandy is currently located just South of Jamaica packing winds of 80 mph. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Jamaica and Eastern Cuba. As Sandy moves to the North, some additional strengthening is likely.

Sandy's next target is the Bahamas, but of course all eyes continue to be on the Northeast. As you've probably heard, much of our forecast guidance has Sandy moving into portions of the Middle Atlantic and Northeastern United States just in time for Halloween.

Yesterday much of our forecast guidance was still taking Sandy out to sea and not impacting the Northeast, but as I told you yesterday evening in my blog entry, our most reliable model had Sandy turning and walloping the Northeastern United States. Sure enough as I look at the model guidance this morning, nearly all of our forecast models have trended West and are now showing the storm pounding the Northeast early next week. Here's a look at the model guidance yesterday compared to today. Notice the huge shift with nearly all of the models placing the track West, just as I suspected last evening.

Here's a little bit of what the National Weather Service in Mount Holly, New Jersey had to say about Sandy in their morning forecast discussion.

 

AS MODEL SOLUTIONS COME TO CLOSER AGREEMENT, ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS CAN BE MADE TO THIS   
TIMEFRAME. FOR NOW, THE INTERACTION OF THE SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND THE TROPICAL OR
POST-TROPICAL SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HIGH WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, RIVER/STREAM
FLOODING, AND COASTAL FLOODING. AS THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HIGH IMPACT EVENT, WE WILL
CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS SYSTEM IN OUR HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.
As the National Weather Service said, the most significant concern with Sandy is the potential that she could merge with a weather system coming out of the Great Lakes. This system is bringing a ton of cold air with it and if these two systems phase or merge, the consequences could be disasterous for much of the Northeast. We are still almost a week away and a lot in this forecast could change as their continues to be an extreme amount of uncertainty. We'll continue to most updates over the next several days - Brandon Redmond

 

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