According to our computer model, the Miami Dolphins will defeat the Denver Broncos when they square off at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, September 24 (at 1:00 PM ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

The Dolphins compiled 23.4 points per game on offense last season (11th in NFL), and they ranked 24th defensively with 23.5 points allowed per game. The Broncos ranked worst in scoring offense last season (16.9 points per game), but they played a little better on defense, ranking 13th with 21.1 points allowed per game.

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Broncos vs. Dolphins Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-6) Over (47.5) Dolphins 30, Broncos 23

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Broncos, based on the moneyline, is 31.2%.
  • Denver went 6-9-0 ATS last year.
  • The Broncos had an ATS record of 3-0 when playing as at least 6-point underdogs last year.
  • A total of six of Denver games last season hit the over.
  • Broncos games averaged 41.4 total points last season, 6.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Dolphins Betting Info

  • The Dolphins have a 73.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Miami won nine games against the spread last season, failing to cover eight times.
  • The Dolphins were favored by 6 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total eight times in Miami games.
  • Dolphins games last season posted an average total of 46.9, which is 0.6 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Broncos vs. Dolphins 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Miami 23.4 23.5 21.6 15.5 24.9 30.6
Denver 16.9 21.1 18 18.3 15.9 23.7

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